TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the second half of an upcoming football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to consider the outcome a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Tennessee and Indianapolis in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The thresholds range incrementally from 3.5 points to 42.5 points. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these markets. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies initially, but as more information becomes available and more people participate, the price of this market often converges towards a more accurate probability assessment. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the actual total points scored in the second half falls within a certain range, and $0 otherwise. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be high, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second half of the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game will be used to determine whether contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive their payouts based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Colts or the Titans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Furthermore, as the game draws closer, any shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of this market.