TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible results based on how many points separate the winning team from the loser. The event resolves based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, by evaluating the point differential between the two teams. If Cincinnati wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), between 1 to 6 points, between 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Tennessee wins by between 1 to 6 points, between 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are assessed based on the full game result, including any overtime periods. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margin outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the expected margin. The current volume of $41,071 suggests active participation and a degree of confidence in the market's price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference between Tennessee and Cincinnati will be used to determine the winning margin, and contracts will be settled accordingly. The official result will be sourced from widely recognized sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any factors that could influence the final score and, therefore, the market outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also influence the expected point differential. Furthermore, significant public betting activity on traditional sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities and drive trading volume on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team news will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements before Nov 1, 2026.