TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Michael Carter or Nicholas Singleton will each score at least one touchdown in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Michael Carter a 100.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, with Nicholas Singleton also at 100.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Drew Sample scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for November 1, 2026, as the outcome hinges on whether either player finds the end zone during that contest and ultimately impacts resolution by November 2, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores at least one touchdown in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap, the market outcome is determined solely by whether they score a touchdown, regardless of any penalties that may nullify the play. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or offensive field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns, ensuring only standard offensive or defensive scores are considered. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their lines, while this market allows participants to directly assess probabilities. If a significant difference emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate disagreement about the likelihood of certain outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially identifying mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks might miss, though this is not always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market price. This creates a real-time reflection of collective expectations regarding the number of touchdowns in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the result. The market will settle based on this verified total, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. News regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts potentially impacting the game's scoring environment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any large-volume trades on Kalshi itself could indicate informed activity and trigger price adjustments, reflecting a change in collective sentiment about the total touchdowns scored.