TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether specific players or defensive units will score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati. Each market tracks individual performance or defensive scoring contributions, providing insight into anticipated player impact and team strategies.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player records the required touchdowns. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes touchdowns scored during overtime. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer's total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract balanced betting, whereas this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. While sportsbooks often focus on maximizing profit, this market aims for accurate prediction. Discrepancies can emerge as new information surfaces, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, leading to shifts in both sets of odds. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the collective prediction. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving sentiment about the game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official results are confirmed. This ensures a fair and reliable settlement of the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries to either team's quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the scoring potential. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could indicate informed traders have new insights, prompting price adjustments. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding market movements.