TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.2b
24H VOL:
$325,717,424
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,438,903
422,382
Markets across
39,948
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,398
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of either team exceeding various yardage milestones during the match.
The event evaluates whether Cincinnati or Tennessee achieves specified total offensive yardage thresholds in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular yardage benchmark (e.g., 250+, 300+, up to 450+) for either team. If the designated team reaches or exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently, allowing multiple outcomes to be true depending on each team's performance relative to their thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more efficient as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see convergence between the two, but discrepancies can still exist, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards in the game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that particular yardage total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage achieved by both the Tennessee and Cincinnati teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the nearest whole number of total yards. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total yards will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for different yardage totals will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects their offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations about passing versus running plays, and therefore total yardage. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments could also move the market, as could significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis or media coverage. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.