TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the exact scoring performance of Tennessee and Cincinnati. Outcomes depend solely on the final point totals, reflecting expectations about offensive efficiency and defensive strength.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Tennessee or Cincinnati in the Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the named team scores more points than the stated threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Thresholds vary incrementally for each team, creating a range of possible outcomes. The governing league's official score will determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract predicting a specific team total, effectively representing a probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official scores for both the Tennessee and Cincinnati teams will be used to determine the total points scored by each. The market will settle based on these officially reported figures, representing the final team totals for the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could drive changes in the price, reflecting evolving perceptions of the likely team totals.