TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the match.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the reception threshold is met. Actual statistics determine the outcome if the player participates in any play after the first half, regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward receptions, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria, and all reception counts include overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – you may observe convergence between the two, or continued divergence if the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain outcomes. It’s a valuable exercise to compare them and consider the reasoning behind any discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, making it a responsive indicator of expectations for the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify these results and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Tennessee or Cincinnati teams would likely cause price fluctuations, particularly affecting the expected performance of wide receivers and tight ends. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence passing game strategies and, therefore, reception totals. Finally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or changes in offensive schemes could also move this market as traders adjust their expectations for the game’s outcome.