TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming American football game, focusing on whether they achieve various receiving yard thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the players' statistics during the match, with consistent rules applied across all thresholds for each player.
The event evaluates whether specified players achieve designated receiving yard thresholds in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and yardage benchmark, resolving to Yes if the player meets or exceeds the threshold. A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff; once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules ensure uniform treatment of player participation and performance measurement across all yardage thresholds and participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Often, you’ll see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can emerge due to differing information or interpretations. It’s common to find that this market incorporates a broader range of factors than traditional sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly assessing the likelihood of various scenarios. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the total receiving yards in the game. This creates a constantly evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for both the Tennessee and Cincinnati teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine the total receiving yards, and the market will settle based on which contract corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing game strategies and, therefore, receiving yard totals. Pre-game reports on defensive matchups and coverage schemes could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or player availability will likely cause fluctuations in the market price as traders adjust their expectations before Nov 2, 2026.