TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Cincinnati, Tennessee, or neither team will be the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either Cincinnati or Tennessee reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks often set opening lines to attract action, and may adjust based on betting patterns, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Tennessee vs Cincinnati matchup. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the market perceives value.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, Tennessee or Cincinnati, officially reaches 14 points first according to official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, as the game progresses, live updates on scoring and game momentum will undoubtedly drive fluctuations in the price of contracts related to the Tennessee vs Cincinnati race to 14.