TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming college football game. It examines whether either player reaches various yardage milestones during their performance. The outcome depends entirely on the actual game statistics for the designated players.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap is taken — even if later nullified by penalty — resolution depends strictly on the total passing yards recorded during the game. All yardage counts are verified against official game statistics. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage for the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their contracts following the completion of the game and the official release of statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health – for either Tennessee or Cincinnati – would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding offensive strategy, or even in-game adjustments, could shift expectations. Finally, significant news about key receivers being injured or unavailable would likely cause movement in this market as traders reassess the potential for passing success.