TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. It examines different thresholds of interception counts to gauge risk and predictive outcomes for bettors and analysts.
The event evaluates whether specified quarterbacks record a minimum number of passing interceptions in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback records the required number of interceptions or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the outcome is settled based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each threshold of interceptions for both participating quarterbacks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If significant differences exist, opportunities may emerge for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time valuation of potential interception totals. The current market depth shows the available contracts and the prices at which traders are willing to buy or sell.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Tennessee vs Cincinnati football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health, such as an injury report, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor a run-heavy offense or increase the difficulty of passing, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about defensive strategies or key player matchups could lead to adjustments in trading activity and, consequently, the odds.