TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing completions achieved by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming college football game. It focuses on whether predetermined thresholds of completions are met by the designated players, reflecting potential performance levels in the contest.
The event evaluates whether specified quarterbacks achieve certain passing completion thresholds during the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Professional Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and a minimum number of completions required for resolution. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total number of passing completions they record during the game. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on the specified completion thresholds for each named player.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying discrepancies or undervalued possibilities that traditional oddsmakers miss. It's a fascinating comparison to observe how these two types of markets diverge or converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a probabilistic forecast for the total passing completions in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing completions total from the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process ensures accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome based on established game statistics. Traders will be able to view the official result and confirm their positions once the resolution is complete. This provides a clear and objective conclusion to the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing games, could also shift the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics can also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate a shift in market expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.