TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game by comparing their fantasy point totals against predetermined thresholds. Each market focuses on a different participant, assessing whether they exceed their assigned point benchmarks based on standardized scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) between Tennessee and Cincinnati, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. A "Yes" outcome occurs when the participant’s total exceeds their respective threshold. Players or teams that do not participate or lack assigned fantasy points are treated as scoring zero. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at market expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. Scoring includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams contributions, and individual-player special teams/fumbles, with specific point values assigned to each statistical category as outlined in the Sleeper scoring format.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, compared to traditional sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on officially recorded statistics from a recognized fantasy sports data provider. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the game could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player performance or coaching strategies could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Even public sentiment and media coverage can sometimes contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their positions in this market.