TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati, this event tracks whether either team manages to score through defensive or special teams plays, such as interceptions or punt returns for touchdowns. The outcome depends solely on these types of scores occurring during the game.
If Tennessee or Cincinnati record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (betting a D/ST touchdown will occur) or sell 'no' contracts (betting against it). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome, ranging from 0 to 100. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of a D/ST touchdown. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams unit scores a touchdown during the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will be used to determine if a D/ST touchdown occurred, and this information will be verified against credible public sources to finalize the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly those favoring strong defensive play, might also impact the market. Major news regarding coaching strategies or special teams performance could also be catalysts. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and move the price of this market.