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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati. It specifically evaluates performance during the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Cincinnati wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals trading based on their own insights. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations. If the prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by news, analysis, and even late-breaking information regarding team performance or player availability, leading to dynamic shifts in the perceived likelihood of each team winning the 4th quarter.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team, if any, has the highest score at the conclusion of the 4th quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game. If the score is tied at the end of regulation, the market will resolve to ‘Neither team wins the 4th Quarter’. The final result will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to movement in this market. Any developments impacting the perceived competitiveness of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game are likely to be reflected in trading activity.