TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the final quarter of an upcoming football game. Bettors predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds, offering varying levels of difficulty for higher thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by Tennessee and Cincinnati during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, excluding any points scored in overtime. Each market has a different threshold: 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same secondary rule, ensuring only points from regulation 4th quarter play are counted.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. Keep in mind that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and cater to different types of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point total scored in the fourth quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will reflect the total points scored during that specific period of play. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The final score will be the determining factor for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Tennessee or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters, especially if one team establishes a substantial lead, could also affect trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking information or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could influence traders’ predictions.