TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, offering insight into momentum and strategy within that quarter.
If Cincinnati wins the 3rd Quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the 3rd Quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will decrease, indicating higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—Tennessee winning the 3rd quarter or Cincinnati winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective probability assessment of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the 3rd quarter winner.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the 3rd quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will then process payouts to traders who correctly predicted the 3rd quarter winner based on the final score and official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Cincinnati teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift prices. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts, public betting trends, and even early game performance in the first and second quarters could all contribute to fluctuations in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.