TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a specific football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati. It evaluates performance based solely on points scored within that initial 15-minute segment, ignoring the rest of the match. Outcomes depend on whether one team pulls ahead or if the quarter ends in a tie.
If Cincinnati wins the 1st Quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the 1st Quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, potentially offering more favorable odds. However, sportsbook odds are heavily influenced by public betting patterns, and this market can sometimes move in similar directions as public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as prediction markets can be more efficient at incorporating new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing expectations about the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game. The current volume indicates the level of interest in each potential winner.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first quarter winner of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati game will be used to determine the winning contract. The result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they are expected to impact the game's playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analyses, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.