TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Cincinnati. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes reflect whether the teams' collective performance surpasses these benchmarks.
These markets assess whether the combined points scored by Tennessee and Cincinnati in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is determined solely by whether the total points scored during the first half surpass that threshold. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half, with no consideration given to the second half or final game result. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect the others; each resolves based strictly on its own criteria. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first half total will be over or under a specific number of points. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe the total will be over, the 'over' contract price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current price reflects the probability that traders assign to the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first half of the Tennessee versus Cincinnati game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded the market’s specified threshold. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, even without any external news events. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential market movements.