TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either Tennessee or Cincinnati wins the first half of their scheduled football game on Nov 1, 2026. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory required for the market to settle in favor of that team.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin defined in each individual market rule. Only points scored during the first half are considered; any points from the second half are irrelevant for resolution. The markets cover a range of victory margins for both teams, from narrow wins (e.g., >2.5 points) to dominant performances (e.g., >20.5 points). All rules share the consistent secondary condition that exclusively first-half scoring impacts resolution, ensuring clarity and focus on early-game performance dynamics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the perceived probability of different outcomes, but it’s important to remember they are driven by different mechanisms and participant bases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the cost to buy a contract predicting the spread will be above the listed value, or to sell a contract predicting it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of traders. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread established by official sources will be compared to the contract value on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out. Successful contracts will pay $1.00, while losing contracts will be worth $0.00. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.