TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Cincinnati player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Tennessee. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by offensive performance in the game.
These markets determine which Cincinnati player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the specified professional football game. Each individual player and the defensive unit market resolves to Yes if that specific participant scores the first touchdown for Cincinnati. If a listed player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap, the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Cincinnati touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. The markets are independent, with each player's outcome contingent solely on their own performance in scoring the first touchdown for Cincinnati.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will fall in this market, offering potentially better value. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both types of markets. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, following the completion of the Tennessee versus Cincinnati football game. The outcome will be determined by identifying the player who scores the first touchdown for the Cincinnati team, as verified against credible public reporting of the game’s events. Official game statistics and play-by-play accounts will be used to confirm the resolution. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on the official game record and widely accepted sources of sports information. The market will then settle based on that confirmed outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Cincinnati, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, potentially impacting the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, general sentiment and public perception, as reflected in news and social media, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.