TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds for both teams in an upcoming football game. Bettors can assess whether each team will surpass specific yardage milestones during the match. Outcomes depend strictly on the official game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Tennessee or Baltimore in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team, with a 'Yes' outcome if the specified team meets or exceeds its threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong track record of accuracy, frequently outperforming traditional polls and expert analyses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific range of total yards. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that prediction. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total yardage for both teams is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage will be sourced from official game statistics released by the relevant sporting authority. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total yards fall within the range represented by the last traded contract, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either the Tennessee or Baltimore teams would be a major catalyst, potentially lowering expectations for total yardage. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game plan and reduce passing attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game adjustments could also shift the market. Finally, any significant news regarding team morale or player availability could lead to price fluctuations in this market.