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Tennessee vs Baltimore: Rushing Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Tennessee vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$113,881

Derrick Henry

 - Kalshi

Derrick Henry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
4%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢
—
N/A
$4,269
N/A
N/A
$3,788
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tony Pollard

View
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$2,172
N/A
N/A
$1,913
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$103,501
N/A
N/A
$102,456
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Cam Ward

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$3,940
N/A
N/A
$2,864
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. Contracts will pay out based on the number of rushing yards each designated player accumulates during the game, with increasing payouts tied to higher yardage thresholds. The structure incentivizes participants to assess player performance and yardage expectations.

Kalshi

The event features two parallel scalar markets resolving based on rushing yards achieved by designated players in the Tennessee vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a Yes outcome that pays out according to a tiered schedule corresponding to every 10 rushing yards the player achieves, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise Yes payout, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals the minimum of 200 and the product of 10 and the integer division of official rushing yards by 10. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and negative rushing yards result in a $0.00 Yes payout. Both markets resolve to Yes once the game is officially completed, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analyses and to balance action, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, as this market can incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, both aim to predict the same outcome: the total rushing yards in the upcoming game. Keep in mind that sportsbook odds are often expressed as spreads or over/unders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each prediction.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard total, as recorded by the official league statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to the total combined rushing yards achieved by both the Tennessee and Baltimore teams during the game. Traders holding contracts predicting a total equal to or below the actual result will receive a payout, while those predicting a higher total will not.

Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions, which could affect the game plan and running frequency. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies could also shift the market. Unexpected news about the quarterbacks’ health or playing status could also impact predictions. Finally, any late-breaking information about team tactics or player availability will likely cause price adjustments in this market.