TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for key players in an upcoming professional football game. It examines whether specific athletes achieve designated yardage milestones during the match, offering insights into their potential impact on the game's outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing yards recorded by designated players during the Tennessee vs Baltimore professional football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the rushing yards they actually record during the game. All yardage thresholds are evaluated independently, with each market resolving to 'Yes' only if the specified player meets or exceeds their respective yardage minimum. The governing league's official statistics will determine all yardage totals.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. While there can be alignment, differences often arise due to varying information or perspectives on the likelihood of different rushing yard totals. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likely rushing yardage in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Tennessee versus Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage, as recorded by the official league statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle based on the official data, providing a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the health or status of the quarterbacks could also indirectly affect the market, as it influences the overall game plan. Any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in expert analysis or media coverage, could also drive price changes in this market.