TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Derrick Henry achieves specific yardage milestones in a football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. The focus is on the combined total of rushing and receiving yards he accumulates during the match. Different thresholds define separate outcomes based on performance levels.
The event evaluates whether Derrick Henry reaches specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the Tennessee vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct yardage benchmark (110+, 135+, and 160+ yards). If Henry is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once Henry takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve based on the actual combined yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation methodology for each yardage target.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a substantial amount of trading occurs, as the market efficiently incorporates new information and diverse perspectives on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the relevant players will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see which outcomes were successful and receive their payouts accordingly after the official results are published and validated. The market’s outcome is determined by the official statistics of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs or receivers on either the Tennessee or Baltimore teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions impacting the running or passing game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trader behavior. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to shifts in the perceived probabilities of different yardage outcomes within this market.