TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tennessee vs Baltimore: Rushing Attempts
kalshi

What is the result of Tennessee vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$35,072

Derrick Henry: 20+

 - Kalshi

Derrick Henry: 20+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 3:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derrick Henry: 20+

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,475
N/A
N/A
$17,330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Derrick Henry: 23+

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,559
N/A
N/A
$1,547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tony Pollard: 14+

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,188
N/A
N/A
$2,185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tony Pollard: 11+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Derrick Henry: 17+

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 10+

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,002
N/A
N/A
$3,002
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 7+

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,845
N/A
N/A
$1,938
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 4+

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,475
N/A
N/A
$1,411
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,257
N/A
N/A
$1,051
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Pollard: 17+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
$579
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill: 8+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill: 2+

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track how often a star running back is used in a specific football game. They focus on whether the player receives a high number of carries during the match, reflecting offensive strategy and player role.

Kalshi

All markets evaluate whether Derrick Henry records a specified minimum number of rushing attempts in the Tennessee vs. Baltimore game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes only if Henry achieves its particular threshold (17+, 20+, or 23+ attempts). A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Henry is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. However, once he takes even a single snap — regardless of whether the play is later nullified by penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the actual rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules ensure clarity around player participation and market resolution, while emphasizing actual performance once gameplay begins.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL rushing attempts market tracks the current price of contracts representing different ranges of total rushing attempts in the specified game. You can view the trading volume over the past 24 hours, which is currently $19,327, as well as the total volume traded to date, standing at $35,072. The dashboard also displays the implied probability of various outcomes, reflecting how traders are pricing their beliefs about the final rushing attempts total. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. Therefore, the implied probabilities from this market can sometimes differ from those found at sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' more accurately, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of official rushing attempts recorded by the teams involved in the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the final source of truth for settling this market. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running the ball, could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups that might impact running play frequency could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.