TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in a football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. Each market focuses on whether a player reaches a certain reception threshold, providing insights into their potential performance in the matchup.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by specified players during the Tennessee vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of receptions recorded. Markets are resolved to 'Yes' if the player meets or exceeds the stated reception threshold; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. The markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome for the same game and players.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the prices in this market tend to become more accurate predictors of the actual event outcome. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insights, especially when compared to the evolving probabilities seen here.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations for the game. This dynamic process ensures that the prices reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various reception totals.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for key players in the Tennessee versus Baltimore game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the game and the contracts they held.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers or tight ends on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and reception numbers. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could sway traders' expectations. Even public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can contribute to price movements in this market.