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Tennessee vs Baltimore: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Tennessee vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$76,450

Zay Flowers

 - Kalshi

Zay Flowers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Zay Flowers

View
17%
10%
Yes 16.6¢No 83.4¢
—
N/A
$2,771
N/A
N/A
$2,723
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Mark Andrews

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Wan'Dale Robinson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,719
N/A
N/A
$3,209
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,644
N/A
N/A
$19,880
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Pollard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,298
N/A
N/A
$1,148
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market links financial payouts to the receiving yardage achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. The payout structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a direct incentive to monitor and predict player performance in the game.

Kalshi

Contracts in this market resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players in the Tennessee vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 receiving yards achieved, following a cubic scaling formula designed to reward higher performance levels more significantly. The maximum payout for Yes contracts is $1.00, while No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. If a player records negative receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00. All payouts are calculated using the formula: Payout = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official receiving yards (s) as y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))). The markets operate independently for each player, with each market resolving to Yes once the yardage-dependent payout is determined.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives from individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets, though this is not guaranteed.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecasts accordingly. The current market price represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the players involved are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final results will be based on the official NFL data released after the game concludes. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. The resolution will determine which outcomes paid out and at what price, based on the final verified data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver would dramatically alter the receiving yardage landscape. Changes in quarterback performance or game strategy could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact passing offenses and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price movements within this market.