TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified player records the exact threshold of receiving yards or more in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles definitively based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from sportsbook expectations. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, potentially offering value for informed traders who identify mispricings. Polling data and expert analyses can also provide a useful comparison point to understand where the crowd stands relative to professional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular yardage range, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations about the final receiving yard total. The current market depth provides insights into the level of conviction behind different potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of the game. The final receiving yardage total for the players involved will be sourced from official league statistics and used to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts shortly after the official statistics are released. It’s important to monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding the game’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team—particularly the primary receivers—would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact the expected passing volume and, consequently, receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader expectations and shifts in the market price.