TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 35 points in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome, reflecting how quickly each team can accumulate points. The resolution depends purely on the in-game scoring milestones and handles scheduling changes with specific time constraints.
The event determines whether Baltimore, Tennessee, or neither team will be the first to score 35 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. If either team reaches 35 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that PredictionHero traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. This difference can be a valuable signal for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Tennessee or Baltimore will reach 35 points first. The price of each contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s accuracy, and it’s a good sign of a healthy, liquid market. The current market depth shows the best available buy and sell prices for contracts.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially reaches 35 points first during the game between Tennessee and Baltimore. Official game statistics will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Baltimore would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team performance during recent games, or even weather forecasts predicting conditions that favor one team’s offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role, driving volume and price fluctuations.