TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. It captures the dynamic nature of the game's early progression, focusing on the pace and scoring efficiency of each team. The outcome depends purely on the gameplay and does not consider external factors or market predictions.
The event determines whether Baltimore, Tennessee, or neither team will be the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If either Baltimore or Tennessee reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring adherence to equitable conditions for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a team reaching 14 points first, they can take a position in this market, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Tennessee or Baltimore—reached 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The market's outcome will reflect the official scoring of the game as determined by the governing body of the sport, providing a clear and objective result for all traders.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Baltimore would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team performance during recent games, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or significant defensive changes would also be impactful. As the game approaches, any pre-game analysis from sports analysts or major shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also drive activity in this market.