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$154.4b

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$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

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$1,902,097,102

417,059

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4,415

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5

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Tennessee vs Baltimore: Player Longest Rush
kalshi

What is the result of Tennessee vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$5,127

Cam Ward: over 5.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Cam Ward: over 5.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cam Ward: over 5.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
$998
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$695
N/A
N/A
$636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyjae Spears: over 6.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Derrick Henry: over 18.5 yards

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,732
N/A
N/A
$2,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Pollard: over 12.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill: over 6.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance above a set threshold in an upcoming football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. It focuses on the longest single rush by each named player during the match. The outcome depends on in-game performance metrics for these individuals.

Kalshi

The event determines if designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Tennessee vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete achieves a rush longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves affirmatively. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market outcome is determined by the longest rush actually recorded during the game. The markets operate independently, and each player’s performance is evaluated separately against their respective thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest rush market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest rush in the upcoming Tennessee versus Baltimore game. You’ll find a price representing the probability of each player achieving this, along with the total volume traded on the market – currently at $5,127 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $4,655. The dashboard also displays the implied probabilities based on the current trading activity, giving you a real-time view of how traders are assessing each player's chances.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines influenced by algorithms and public perception, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome, though sportsbooks may adjust their lines over time to converge with the market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each player. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that player having the longest rush. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information and differing opinions among traders, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Tennessee versus Baltimore game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the longest rush, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning player's contract and 0 for all others.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a running or passing game, could also impact the market. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news about team strategies or player matchups could all contribute to movement in the prices offered on Kalshi for this market.