TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in a football game between Tennessee and Baltimore. It examines whether either player reaches various yardage milestones during the match, offering multiple benchmarks for performance evaluation.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified quarterback achieves the stated passing yard threshold in the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a snap is taken—even if later nullified by penalty—the outcome is determined solely by the actual passing yards recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent on the specific yardage benchmarks for each named player.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly forecasting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes value lies, and how it contrasts with the perspectives of experts and bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, real-time auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The more confidence traders have in a particular passing yardage range, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be. This creates a fluid and responsive market for predicting the final passing yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Tennessee versus Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage totals for each quarterback will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the quarterbacks, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing yardage totals and therefore the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders reassessing their predictions and adjusting their positions.