TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of passing attempts made by Cam Ward during the Tennessee vs. Baltimore football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the number of attempts required for resolution. The outcomes depend on whether Ward meets or exceeds these thresholds during the game.
The markets resolve based on whether Cam Ward records a specified minimum number of passing attempts in the Tennessee vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If Ward is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Ward takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of passing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets tied to Cam Ward's passing attempts in this matchup.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the prices in this market tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing market dynamics and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals from the Tennessee versus Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual number of combined passing attempts made during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence prices in this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – injuries, illness, or even coaching decisions – would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the expected passing volume. Late-breaking reports on key receiver availability or changes in defensive strategies could further shift expectations. Even significant line movements in sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust prices in this market.