TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the Tennessee vs Baltimore football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, will last long enough to require an overtime period. Overtime occurs when the game is tied at the end of the regular 60 minutes, extending play beyond the standard timeframe to determine a winner. The outcome depends solely on the official game result as recorded by league authorities.
If the Tennessee vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own models and may adjust them based on betting action, but they also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts regarding the game’s potential for overtime.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, the game going to overtime. As more people buy contracts anticipating overtime, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Tennessee versus Baltimore game officially goes into overtime according to official NFL game records. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics and any subsequent rulings made by the NFL regarding the game’s conclusion. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Baltimore teams could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, might also impact the likelihood of a game going to overtime. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements in this market.