TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds based on standardized scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense units during the full duration of the Tennessee vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing/rushing/receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, field goals, sacks, defensive plays, and special teams contributions. Each market has a unique threshold; if the designated player or defense records above their respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Players who do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections or rounding. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of opinions to influence pricing. It’s common to see prediction market odds converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing risk appetites and information access between prediction market participants and traditional bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the players in the Tennessee vs Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official fantasy point totals from a major fantasy sports provider will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are released. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Baltimore teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in player roles or game strategy could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about weather conditions, which could affect player performance, might lead to adjustments in contract prices. Monitoring player practice reports and pre-game analysis will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 4, 2026.