TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in a football match between Tennessee and Baltimore. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match a predetermined scenario for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Tennessee vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the first-half result and the full-game result must exactly match the specified conditions outlined in the market's primary rule. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the required condition, the market resolves as No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a unique pairing of first-half and full-game outcomes, such as Baltimore winning both segments, Tennessee winning both, or a tie in either segment, among other combinations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, you’ll find prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and can offer a different perspective on the likely result. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the event. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, giving traders insight into potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Tennessee vs Baltimore game – specifically, the 1st Half / Fulltime Result – will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the final score.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Baltimore team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public statements or analysis from sports experts could influence trader behavior and alter the probabilities reflected in the contract prices.