TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team must exceed for the bet to pay out. The outcomes depend solely on the final score of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions among bettors and prediction market participants. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential team totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Tennessee vs Arkansas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, specifically the total points scored by each team, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which side – Tennessee or Arkansas – exceeded or fell short of their respective totals, based on these official results.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee or Arkansas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the perceived scoring potential. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, driven by analyst predictions or media coverage, can influence trading activity and move the market.