TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tennessee will win against Arkansas by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, the probability of Tennessee winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 75.0%. The resolution source for this market is based on the final score of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, with a Yes resolution requiring a Tennessee victory by more than 14.5 points. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For Tennessee win markets, resolution occurs if Tennessee wins by more than the specified point margin; for Arkansas win markets, resolution occurs if Arkansas wins by more than the specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. However, there can be discrepancies due to differing factors influencing each. It’s common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or shifts in public sentiment, potentially leading to differences compared to initial sportsbook postings.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of college football. Any adjustments or corrections made to the official result after the initial announcement will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Arkansas teams would likely cause substantial movement. Major news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in polls and media coverage, can also play a role, as can large volume trades from informed participants. Any significant development related to the game is likely to be quickly incorporated into the price of contracts in this market.