TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:03 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Tennessee vs. Arkansas.
Exact margin markets for Tennessee vs. Arkansas.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final point difference. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular margin is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, offering a unique insight into collective expectations for the game's final score.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference between Tennessee and Arkansas, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is verified and reported.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly impact trading behavior and therefore the price of contracts.