TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of a college football game between Tennessee and Arkansas. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific values during that quarter.
The market resolves based on the total points scored by both teams in the third quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each outcome represents a different scoring threshold, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the combined points exceed the specified threshold. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to openly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value compared to traditional betting outlets. The market may also react more quickly to breaking news than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 3rd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price isn’t a direct probability, but can be converted to an implied probability based on the contract value. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches resolution.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Arkansas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the teams’ offensive strategies, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, public sentiment and large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting evolving expectations about the 3rd quarter total.