TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second quarter of a college football game between Tennessee and Arkansas. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game within a specific timeframe, offering insight into potential momentum shifts during that period.
If Arkansas wins the 2nd quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the 2nd quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the evolving expectations of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Resolution relies on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a team’s strengths or weaknesses, could also cause significant shifts. Public sentiment and betting trends, as reflected by trading volume, will also play a role in shaping the market’s price until resolution.