TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Tennessee or Arkansas specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game. For Tennessee markets, resolution occurs if Tennessee wins the second half by more than the specified point margin; for Arkansas markets, resolution occurs if Arkansas wins the second half by more than the specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to differences compared to more static sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final score will determine which contracts pay out.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tennessee or Arkansas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, even if it doesn’t directly translate to the final spread, can influence trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts could also be catalysts.