TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Tennessee and Arkansas. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends on which team scores more points in that initial period, or if the quarter ends in a tie.
If Arkansas wins the 1st quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the 1st quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or late-developing trends, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the first quarter winner. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to fluctuations in price. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time forecast of the game’s first quarter result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first quarter winner of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game will be used to determine the winning contract. Official results from the game, as reported by a trusted sports source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the first quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Arkansas would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role, though this market represents an independent assessment of the likely outcome. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential price movements.