TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Tennessee and Arkansas. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about the game's pace and offensive output.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market, if the collective points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., Over 2.5 points, Over 6.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a margin into their odds. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to take either side of the bet, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, though not always. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Tennessee vs Arkansas 1st half total. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a consensus view of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total score of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct first half total will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the end of the game to allow for a smooth resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee or Arkansas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the price. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in market sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate.