TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tennessee will win its college football game against Arkansas. Currently, Kalshi gives Tennessee a 67.0% probability of winning, while Arkansas is at 34.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to ‘Yes’ if Tennessee wins the match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain active and resolve according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though they are shaped by different incentives than those driving activity in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price discovery, and the current price represents the collective assessment of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tennessee vs Arkansas game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might influence trading activity. Even late-breaking news about team morale or strategic adjustments could cause the market to react, leading to price fluctuations and changes in the implied probabilities.