TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold that determines a resolution outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Tennessee Tech vs The Citadel college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets where Tennessee Tech wins by a specified margin or more, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the victory meets or exceeds that threshold. One market resolves to 'Yes' if The Citadel wins by more than 3.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved outcomes due to scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information becomes available and market participants adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Tennessee Tech vs Citadel spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on it.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Tennessee Tech vs The Citadel game. The platform will use publicly available data to verify the final point difference and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either Tennessee Tech or The Citadel would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or large bets placed on Kalshi, could lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.