TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in a college football game between Tennessee State and Western Illinois. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcomes depend on whether the combined score exceeds the specified point total.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Tennessee State and Western Illinois in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 33.5 to 73.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different point total threshold, and all are subject to the same postponement and fairness provisions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade contracts, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts, though these discrepancies can narrow as the event approaches. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored in the Tennessee St. vs Western Illinois game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones result in losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Tennessee St. vs Western Illinois game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams, as officially recorded by the governing sports body, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective determination of the result, providing clarity for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee St. or Western Illinois would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to Oct 3, 2026.