TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the margin of victory in a college football game between Tennessee State and Western Illinois. Each outcome represents a different point spread threshold that determines whether the market settles as 'Yes' or 'No' based on the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Tennessee State vs Western Illinois college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Western Illinois wins by exceeding the specified point spread (ranging from 3.5 to 35.5 points), the corresponding 'Yes' outcome settles. Conversely, if Tennessee State wins by more than the designated thresholds (1.5, 4.5, 8.5, or 12.5 points), the relevant 'Yes' outcome for their victories resolves. Postponements are accommodated if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, potentially revealing where the market anticipates value or disagreement with conventional wisdom regarding the Tennessee St. vs Western Illinois game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current volume traded suggests a level of interest in potential outcomes for this matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Tennessee St. vs Western Illinois game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in scores between the two teams at the end of regulation time. Any overtime periods will be included in the final score used for market resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee St. or Western Illinois would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also influence trader behavior. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift prices as they express their views on the likely outcome of the game.