TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to speculate on the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game between Tennessee-Martin and Tennessee St. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, enabling traders to assess the likelihood of various score outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Tennessee-Martin vs Tennessee St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team's victory exceeds the designated point spread; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding injuries or other late-breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the game’s likely outcome, creating a real-time assessment of the Tennessee-Martin vs Tennessee St. spread.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Tennessee-Martin vs Tennessee St. game. Contracts will pay out $1 per share for the winning spread and $0 for losing spreads. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s final score to understand the resolution of this market and their contract positions.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tennessee-Martin or Tennessee St. would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also influence the spread. Unexpected coaching changes or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes as traders react to perceived information or opportunities.